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Portfolio > Economy & Markets > Fixed Income

Just 2 Weeks Left to Secure 6.9% I Bond Interest Rate

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What You Need to Know

  • The interest rate for I bonds is expected to drop May 1.
  • Investors don’t have as much incentive to buy I bonds as they did last fall.
  • CDs and other securities offer rates that might make it less tempting to rush into an I bond purchase.

The yield for inflation-linked Series I savings bonds is expected to drop from the current 6.89% to 3.8% when the U.S. Treasury Department resets rates on May 1, giving investors roughly two weeks to lock in the higher return for the next six months.

While some could go that route, investors don’t have as much incentive as they did last fall.

Back then, those seeking to capture a 9.62% rate before a Nov. 1 adjustment crashed the TreasuryDirect.gov website, which sells I bonds. Investors scooped up nearly $1 billion in I bonds on the last day in October when they could secure that rate.

Six months later, certificates of deposit and other securities offer rates that might make it less pressing to rush into an I bond purchase before the reset, financial advisors say.

“For those that have not purchased I bonds yet, I am suggesting they roll short-term CDs [into their portfolios] in place of I bonds. The rates are near 5% on CDs with maturities between three and 12 months, and they can decide … what to do next at maturity,” Erik Nero, founder and president of First Step Wealth Planning, told ThinkAdvisor via email.

Keeping the maturity short provides the option to reinvest, or make another choice altogether,” Nero said.

Since an I bond must be held at least one year and the holder loses the last three months interest if it’s redeemed before five years, “I believe the short-term CDs are best for now,” he explained.

Short-term interest rates exceeding long term rates will not persist forever, so when there is more incentive to buy longer-term fixed income, we can determine what needs to be placed into longer maturities,” Nero noted.

Comparable Bank Rates

Eric Maldonado, who owns and leads Aquila Wealth Advisors, offered a similar view. “Money market and high yield bank savings rates are now comparable to I bond rates without the holding period restrictions,” he said via email. “You have more freedom and options.”

The Treasury Department resets the rate every six months based on government inflation data, and buyers lock in the current rate for six months from the purchase date. I bonds earn interest for 30 years or until redeemed.

Individuals are limited to buying a maximum $10,000 in electronic I bonds per calendar year through TreasuryDirect and $5,000 in paper bonds annually through income tax refunds. The bonds must be held for a year, and owners forfeit the last three months interest if they cash them out before five years.

Treasury Plans

Based on the most recent data indicating cooling inflation, the Treasury Department is expected to adjust the I bond rate on May 1 to 3.8%, assuming the department keeps the 0.40% fixed-rate component it used in the calculation six months ago.

The rate could be higher or lower if the department raises or lowers the fixed-rate element, which lasts for as long as the purchaser holds the bond, as Bloomberg noted in a recent report.

Our opinion on I bonds was that the opportunity to utilize I bonds for a financial portfolio has likely passed. Of course the variability of client scenarios always could offer a challenge to this statement,” Jon McCardle, president of Summit Financial Group of Indiana, said via email.

When corporate and high yield as well as other marketable securities offer a better risk-adjusted return, we believe it would be better to keep cash as a portion of liquidity while maybe utilizing laddered CDs for another required liquidity portion while the Fed keeps increasing rates,” McCardle explained.

Place the rest strategically around the markets in varying degrees of risk according to the clients financial needs and risk tolerances,” he added.

Jon Luskin, Luskin Financial Planning owner, said via email that investing in I bonds is reasonable as long as clients understand the one-year lockup, the three-month-interest surrender penalty in the first five years, and that the interest rates change every six months.

Also, there’s the return-on-hassle’ factor. The TreasuryDirect website isn’t great — and with only a limited amount of I bonds you can purchase anyway, it’s not going to make a real difference in one’s long-term finances,” Luskin said.

And if you’re not already using TreasuryDirect, consider what adding another account means for you and your finances: more complexity. This is especially important if you’re partnered, and your partner doesn’t have the same financial aptitude you do. Do you want to leave them another account to manage in the worst case of your death, disability, etc.?” he added.

Worth the Hassle?

Jim Williams, chief investment officer at Creative Planning, generally considers investing in I bonds to be “not worth the hassle for investors with a significant asset base. It can make more sense for investors with a modest amount of investable assets,” he said via email.

Because I bonds aren’t marketable securities, they can’t be held in brokerage accounts, and the client would need to buy one on TreasuryDirect, he noted.

The fixed rate is often 0%, which leaves no additional yield above inflation. And since clients must pay federal income taxes on the return when they redeem, a 0% fixed-rate component would mean the after-tax return is less than the inflation rate, he said.

Obviously, the inflation component of the yield is way more attractive than the current real rate of non-inflation-linked bonds,” Williams pointed out.

“The biggest question that an investor needs to ask themselves is, with a cap of $10,000, is it worth the hassle of going through the process of buying I bonds, or does it needlessly complicate their life with limited expected difference in outcomes?” he said.

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